MOSCOW (MRC) -- U.S. crude and gasoline stocks fell and gasoline demand reached its highest since 2019, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said, signaling increasing strength in the U.S. economy, said Hydrocarbonprocessing.
Crude inventories fell by 6.9 million barrels in the week to July 2 to 445.5 million barrels, the lowest since February 2020, and more than the expected 4 million-barrel drop estimated in a Reuters poll. Crude stocks have declined steadily for several weeks as refiners process more oil into gasoline, diesel and other products. Overall product supplied - a proxy for demand from end-users of fuels - rose to 20.9 million barrels per day (bpd), in line with the same trend two years ago prior to the coronavirus pandemic.
In addition, gasoline demand surged to a one-week record, but the four-week average of gasoline supplied was at 9.5 million bpd, the highest since October 2019. That helped lower gasoline stocks by 6.1 million barrels, exceeding expectations for a 2.2 million-barrel drop. “The report is bullish, there’s no doubt,” said Tony Headrick, energy market analyst at CHS Hedging. “For all of the estimates out there suggesting gasoline demand was strong that showed true, leading to a sharp drawdown in inventories."
Oil prices rose on the news, shaking off earlier losses. U.S. crude futures were up 4 cents to USD72.24 a barrel while Brent gained 10 cents to USD73.54 as of 11:14 a.m. EDT (1514 GMT). Crude stocks dropped even as refiners cut back activity in the most recent week, with crude runs down by 184,000 bpd, and refinery utilization rates off by 0.7 percentage points to 92.2% of capacity.
Production rose to 11.3 million bpd, still short of the 2019 record of nearly 13 million bpd. Weekly production figures can tend to be volatile, however, and most analysts regard monthly data as more reliable. “Even though we saw a little bit of a rise to 11.3 million, we’ve still got a long way to go there to make it back to where we were,” said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital in New York. Distillate stockpiles, which include diesel and heating oil, rose by 1.6 million barrels in the week.
As per MRC, imports of petroleum products-gasoline, distillate, and other products into the East Coast region of the United States increased in March 2021. Rising imports resulted from lower domestic supply, higher demand, and higher domestic petroleum product prices compared with prices in Europe. In March, East Coast petroleum product imports averaged 1.4 million barrels per day (b/d). In addition, East Coast gasoline imports averaged 737,000 b/d, the highest March level since 2009, and East Coast distillate imports averaged 421,000 b/d, the highest March level since 2003.
We remind that most units were shut on Sunday night and Monday morning (15-16 February) at Marathon Petroleum Corp's 585,000 barrel-per-day Galveston Bay Refinery in Texas City, Texas, as temperatures plunged due to a Arctic cold front reaching the Gulf Coast. They resumed operations in the first half of March.
Ethylene and propylene are the main feedstocks for the production of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), respectively.
According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 744,130 tonnes in the first four month of 2021, up by 4% year on year. Shipments of all PE grades increased. At the same time, PP deliveries to the Russian market were 523,900 tonnes in January-April 2021, up by 55% year on year. Supply of homopolymer PP and PP block copolymers increased, whereas shipments of PP random copolymers decreased.
MRC