MOSCOW (MRC) --The short-term outlook for the Turkish petrochemicals industry is challenging, with the depreciation of the lira and the rising cost of credit dampening domestic demand, but export growth and low stocks should help lift demand in H214, said Balkans, citing Turkey Petrochemicals Report Q3 2014.
The pace of polymers growth will be partly determined by the strength of the export-oriented automotive sector as well as the domestic construction industry. Although we have revised down 2014 GDP growth forecast for Turkey from 2.6% to 1.5% and the lira may not have ended its depreciatory run, there are upsides.
Demand for major polymers declined in Turkey owing to the fall in domestic currency in the first few months of 2014. A few domestic polyethylene converters have suspended production lines and major domestic petrochemicals producer Petkim has stopped producing at full capacity due to payment issues prompted by an interest rate hike. BMI believes this trend will be reversed through H214 as stocks are depleted and orders increase.
Local producer Petkim has been able to counter a decline in sales by successfully reducing costs through cuts and efficiency savings, while running plants at an overall capacity utilisation rate of around 83%. As a result, while its revenue declined 4.4%, its net income nearly doubled to TRY49mn.
As MRC wrote previously, Petkim together with its key owner, Socar plans to transform Aliaga into an industrial cluster. The transformation has several positive effects on Petkim. Star refinery, Petlim and Petkojen projects are the key earnings drivers. Among these initiatives, the building of Star refinery by Socar-Turcas, the container port project Petlim and co-generation plant project Petkojen are the key additions. Star refinery allows Petkim to receive feedstock at lower cost and better quality. Petlim utilizes the port area belonging to the company more efficiently. Petkojen lowers the overall energy cost of the company by turning the boilers to dual mode.
Petkim is the leading petrochemical company of Turkey. Specializing in petrochemical manufacturing, the company produces ethylene, polyethylene, polyvinyl chloride, polypropylene and other chemical building blocks for use in the manufacture of plastics, textiles, and other consumer and industrial products.
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