The combined quota of the OPEC+ countries for November, including compensations by those who broke the arrangement, will total 38.084 million barrels per day (b/d), up 74,000 b/d on October, according to estimates by Interfax based on the latest OPEC data, as per Interfax.
On Sunday the eight members of the alliance which voluntarily restricted their outputs by 1.65 million b/d approved a resolution to increase production by an aggregate 137,000 b/d from next month. However, the increase will be more restrained due to the compensatory schedules for the overproduction in previous months, primarily by Kazakhstan which is to cut its output by 86,000 b/d in November.
Three participants in the deal - Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Algeria - will be able to produce at the level of the quotas set at 10.061 million b/d, 2.569 million b/d and 967,000 b/d, respectively. The other five will have to cut their targets by a certain volume of compensations, depending on the extent of the surpluses they allowed to occur in previous months.
According to the current quotas and compensation schedules, next month oil production plans will increase to 9.498 million b/d in Russia, 4.107 million b/d in Iraq, 3.377 million b/d in the United Arab Emirates, 2.569 million b/d in Kuwait and 802,000 b/d in Oman. Kazakhstan is to bring output down to 1.477 million b/d.
That means that from next month Russia and Saudi Arabia can each increase their outputs by 41,000 b/d, the UAE by 22,000 b/d, Iraq by 18,000 b/d, Kuwait by 10,000 b/d, Oman by 6,000 b/d and Algeria by 4,000 b/d.
Kazakhstan is the only one to have to reduce production, by 58,000 b/d.
mrchub.com