The Chemical Business Association (CBA; Crewe, UK), which represents mainly distributors, has released results from its supply-chain survey for the second quarter, which shows that the sector remains under pressure, as per Chemweek.
The survey includes responses from chemical manufacturers, as well as transport and logistics companies from across the UK’s chemical supply chain, and distributors.
The second-quarter results indicate “cautious optimism” in some areas, with 31% of respondents specifying that their order books are improving, better than the figure of about 23% in the first quarter, the CBA said.
About 29% of respondents reported improved sales over the previous three months, a slight downturn from 32% in the first quarter. About 26% of companies predict increased sales in the coming months – 1 percentage point higher than in the first quarter – “suggesting relatively flat forward momentum,” the CBA said.
Margins remain under pressure, with 9% of respondents reporting improvements, and 60% indicating no change. Future margin expectations also show signs of decline, with almost 37% of respondents expecting profitability to worsen in the next three months, the CBA said. This is up 10% versus the same period last year.
Survey responses reaffirmed employment concerns. About 14% of respondents expect employment levels to increase over the coming months, up from 11% in the first quarter, and 20% expect employment levels to decline, “reflecting the pressures businesses are currently facing,” the CBA said.
In terms of logistics, 77% of companies reported an escalation in shipping costs. Disruption linked to the Red Sea/Suez shipping routes also continues to affect operations, now impacting 57% of respondents, up from 36% in the first quarter, the CBA said. However, UK road haulage issues appear to be easing, with 8% reporting difficulties versus 16% earlier in the year, it said.
Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty – including US/China trade tensions – adds to the list of headwinds, the CBA said. Brexit-related regulatory issues, particularly UK REACH, remain “the most persistent and disruptive concern,” it said.
“This quarter’s data reflects a sector showing resilience, but which is increasingly being worn down by policy delays and global instability,” said Tim Doggett, CEO of the CBA. “The growing number of businesses expecting to reduce staff is also troubling. Without strategic support, there is a real risk of losing the skilled workforce essential for the sector’s future. What is most striking, however, is the resounding message from our members about the impact of UK REACH. The proposed further extension of the UK REACH registration deadlines is deeply frustrating for our members and for the wider sector as these delays prolong uncertainty, hinder investment and continue to place unnecessary financial and operational burdens on businesses.”
The CBA said it is working to make the UK government aware of the impact of UK REACH, including on downstream users that were previously not in scope of the regulation. “The association has persistently lobbied the government on UK REACH’s operability and practicality, and the impact of duplicate testing and costs,” it said.
mrchub.com