China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) held a significant meeting on May 15, during which updates to the urea export framework were decided, as per Chemweek.
These updates will allow some exports of the fertilizer to resume from this month, according to local media reports.
Exports under the China Inspection and Quarantine (CIQ) process will run from May to September, with the final customs clearance scheduled for Oct. 15.
China halted exports in December 2023 with the aim of ensuring sufficient supply in the country and stable domestic market prices for end users.
Key details include the establishment of export batches, with the first batch set for May to July and the second batch for August to September. Potential future exports will hinge on the execution of these batches.
In terms of pricing and volume control, a minimum export guidance price has been set at $360 per metric ton FOB for prilled urea and $370 per metric ton FOB for granular urea. Enterprises must adhere to allocated quotas and are prohibited from selling below the guidance price.
A total export quota of 2 million metric tons has been established for qualified urea producers and distributors, with extensions contingent on the domestic market’s performance.
Platts assessed FOB China prilled urea on May 15 at $349-359 per metric ton, unchanged on the week, and FOB China granular urea at $359-369 per metric ton, down from $369-379 per metric ton on May 8.
Market participants expect the first CIQ for urea exports to begin as early as next week, pending official confirmation.
Meanwhile, prices for standard-grade ammonium sulfate have softened after six weeks of increases, driven by weak demand from Brazil and Southeast Asia. This cautious market sentiment is reflected in reduced trading activity as buyers await clarity on China’s urea export policies.
Additionally, Indonesia’s state-owned Pupuk Indonesia issued a urea tender this week, attracting lower bids due to short selling among participants, which also negatively impacts ammonium sulfate prices. Platts reported a FOB caprolactam price for ammonium sulfate in China at $154-156 per metric ton on May 15, down from $157-157 per metric ton the previous week.
mrchub.com