MOSCOW (MRC) -- Oil steadied on Thursday as a potential pause in U.S. interest rate hikes and the passing of a crucial vote on the U.S. debt ceiling bill were offset by a report of rising inventories in the world's biggest oil consumer, said Hydrocarbonprocessing.
U.S. Federal Reserve officials on Wednesday suggested interest rates could be kept on hold this month and the U.S. House of Representatives passed a bill suspending the government's debt ceiling, improving the chance of averting a disastrous default.
Brent crude futures fell 10 cents, or 0.14%, to USD72.50 a barrel by 1339 GMT while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) rose 7 cents, or 0.1%, to $68.16. Both benchmarks fell on Tuesday and Wednesday. "Oil markets may have been oversold in the last two trading days," said CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng. "Sentiment rebounded amid the debt bill's passage in the House and (the) Fed's rate hike pause signal."
Mixed demand indications from China, the world's biggest oil importer, have nonetheless weighed on the market, as has industry data showing a rise in U.S. crude inventories. Market sources citing American Petroleum Institute (API) figures on Wednesday said that U.S. crude inventories rose by about 5.2 million barrels last week. Government stocks data is due at 1430 GMT on Thursday.
"The current mood is one of pessimism," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM. "Investors have been pragmatic and risk averse of late." Also in focus is the June 4 meeting of the OPEC+ producer group, in which the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia will discuss whether or not to cut oil production further.
Four sources from the alliance told Reuters that OPEC+ is unlikely to deepen supply cuts at their ministerial meeting on Sunday despite a fall in oil prices toward USD70 a barrel. These price levels are "not at all comfortable" for OPEC+ members, said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.
"Failure to deliver some price supportive action at the OPEC+ meeting this weekend could see oil prices drop further, but overall, we see the downside risk as limited with last month's production cuts yet to be fully felt and priced in," Hansen said.
We remind, Russia is leaning towards leaving oil production volumes unchanged ahead of an OPEC+ policy meeting on June 4 because Moscow is content with current prices and output. OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries with Russia and other allies, surprised the market on April 2 with further output cuts that pushed up the price of oil.