Chinese independent refineries increase crude throughput to a four-month high in October

MOSCOW (MRC) -- A more than doubling of refining margins and a fresh batch of crude quota allocations spurred China's independent refiners to raise crude throughput to a four-month high in October, pulling down feedstock inventories at ports from record highs, reported S&P Global.

Throughput was expected to continue rising until year end if margins remain elevated as refiners would not want to miss the opportunity after two years of constrained profits, analysts and industry sources said.

"(The higher throughput in October was) mostly driven by a tight gasoil market, given these players often have higher yields and a general edge selling into the wholesale market," said Grace Lee, Senior Analyst with S&P Global Analytics.

State-owned oil refiners have also raised their gasoil output in the recent months, she added, which was mostly done to help fill domestic shortages, as instructed by Beijing. There has been a structural reduction in their gasoil-gasoline output ratio, and around half their gasoil sales are sold directly through the wholesale market.

Feedstock consumption at China's independent refineries in eastern Shandong province rose 6.5% month on month to a four-month high of 10.12 million mt in October from 9.5 million mt in September, data from local information provider JLC showed Nov. 12.

It was the first month since July that throughput at Shandong's independent refineries was higher than 10 million mt.

As MRC informed previously, PetroChina, Asia's largest oil and gas producer, aims to have oil, gas and green energies to each account for a third of its portfolio by 2035, as the Chinese oil major shifts toward a lower-carbon future.

We remind that in August, 2021, PetroChina Liaoyang Petrochemical Co Ltd , part of the Chinese petrochemical major - PetroChina,successfully started up its new polypropylene (PP) plant last week. Based in Liaoning City, Liaoyang Province, China, the new PP plant has a production capacity of 300,000 tons/year.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, PP shipments to the Russian market were 1,138,510 tonnes in the first nine months of 2021, up by 30% year on year. Supply of propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) and block-copolymers of propylene (PP block copolymers) increased, whereas supply of injection moulding PP random copolymers decreased significantly.
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MOSCOW (MRC) -- IGL, is a leading company in the production of sustainable intermediate chemicals like green Ethylene Oxide (EO), Mono-Ethylene Glycol (MEG) and a wide range of speciality chemical products, produced from bio-based ethanol, Hydrocarbonprocessing.

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A high EO catalyst selectivity results in direct variable costs savings as less feedstock (i.e., ethylene) is consumed to manufacture products. Through being a serial early-adopter of new EO catalysts from SC&T, IGL’s production unit has been able to continuously improve its product yield and lower overall production variable costs.

The most recent charge of Shell High Selectivity EO Catalyst S-889 started up in July 2020 and achieved 92% selectivity combined with excellent stability that has enabled the unit to extend its production cycle. This is the fifth charge of S-889 catalyst, which shows the trust that IGL places in the exceptional performance of SC&T catalysts which have a strong track record of performance under all operating conditions. This superior catalyst performance has allowed the unit to maximize production during favorable market conditions whilst maintaining a high average selectivity and low impurities generation.

As Jagdish Rao, SC&T Technical Services Manager has observed: “IGL’s agile work culture with a clear focus on adopting new technologies for continuous improvement is a key differentiator and has helped IGL to be a pioneer in the production of sustainable chemicals. SC&T’s partnership with IGL demonstrates our customer centric approach in developing customized catalyst and technology solutions."

As MRC informed earlier, Royal Dutch Shell plans to reduce its refining and chemicals portfolio by more than half, it said in July 2020 without giving a precise timeframe. The move is part of the Anglo-Dutch company's plan to shrink its oil and gas business and expand its renewables and power division to reduce greenhouse gas emissions sharply by 2050.

Ethylene and propylene are the main feedstocks for the production of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), respectively.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 1,868,160 tonnes in the first nine months of 2021, up by 18% year on year. Shipments of all grades of ethylene polymers increased. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market were 1,138,510 tonnes in January-September 2021, up by 30% year on year. Supply of propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) and block-copolymers of propylene (PP block copolymers) increased, whereas supply of injection moulding statistical copolymers of propylene (PP random copolymers) decreased significantly.

IGL, is a leading company in the production of sustainable intermediate chemicals like green Ethylene Oxide (EO), Mono-Ethylene Glycol (MEG) and a wide range of speciality chemical products, produced from bio-based ethanol.
MRC

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Sri Lanka has temporarily shut its only oil refinery as part of efforts to manage dwindling foreign exchange reserves, the energy minister said on Tuesday, triggering long queues at petrol stations, reported Reuters.

The 51-year-old Sapugaskanda Oil Refinery, which has a capacity of 50,000 bpd, was closed on Monday, the minister, Udaya Gammanpila, said at the weekly Cabinet briefing.

"The refinery will be closed for about 50 days. Sri Lanka has very limited foreign exchange reserves at the moment and we need it more for essentials like food and medicine," he said.

Gammanpila said fuel imports would resume once the government was able to raise sufficient dollars but did not give details of a timeline.

Faced with rising inflation and dwindling reserves, the government is discussing a bailout for its economy, cabinet spokesman and Media Minister Dullas Allahaperuma told reporters.

Sri Lanka is also attempting to negotiate a USD500 MM credit line with India to buy fuel and boost reserves, which dropped to USD2.27 B at the end of October. During the first nine mos of 2021, Sri Lanka spent USD692 MM on fuel imports, its highest import expenditure.

As MRC informed before, Indian refiners' crude oil throughput in September edged higher from the previous month, government data showed, as refineries boosted output to meet surging demand. Refiners processed 4.45 MM barrels per day (bpd) (18.21 MM tons) of crude oil last month, up from the 4.36 MMbpd in August, which was the lowest in 10 mos.

We remind that the Indian company Nayara Energy, 49.13% of which is owned by Russia's largest state oil company - Rosneft, has launched a USD750 million petrochemical development program. Nayara Energy has the second largest refinery in India with a capacity of 20 million tons per year. The Indian company has already launched a refinery development program: within the first stage, it is planned to build units for the production of polypropylene (PP) with a capacity of up to 450,000 tonnes per year.

Ethylene and propylene are the main feedstocks for the production of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), respectively.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 1,638,370 tonnes in the first eight months of 2021, up by 10% year on year. Shipments of all grades of ethylene polymers increased. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market were 989,570 tonnes in the first eight months of 2021, up by 30% year on year. Deliveries of homopolymer PP and block-copolymers of propylene (PP block copolymers) increased, whereas shipments of injection moulding PP random copolymers decreased significantly.
MRC

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Canada's Trans Mountain oil pipeline has been shut down temporarily because of rainstorms pounding parts of the province of British Columbia, reported Reuters with reference to the operating company's statement on Monday.

The Canadian government-owned pipeline ships 300,000 barrels a day of crude and refined products from Alberta to the Pacific Coast. Work on a major expansion project on the pipeline has also been halted, Trans Mountain Corp said.

"As a precaution, Trans Mountain has shut down the Trans Mountain Pipeline due to widespread flooding and debris flows in the area around Hope, BC," a company spokeswoman said in an email. She did not give any information on when the pipeline is expected to restart.

Heavy rains and flooding are causing widespread disruption across Canada's westernmost province. Landslides have trapped people in vehicles on highways and the entire town of Merritt, with a population of 7,000 people, has been ordered to evacuate.

Trans Mountain is a key oil export route and nearly two-thirds of its volumes in the first half of 2021 were light oil deliveries heading to US refineries, said IHS Market Vice President Kevin Birn, citing Canada Energy Regulator data.

Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE.TO), one of the oil producers that uses the pipeline to transport crude, said it was monitoring the situation.

Refiners in Washington state, including Phillips 66 and BP, have other options to acquire oil, as they have access to the Pacific Ocean.

As MRC wrote previously, Phillips 66, a diversified energy manufacturing and logistics company, has announced it plans to convert its Alliance Refinery in Belle Chasse, La., to a terminal facility. The conversion is expected to take place in 2022.

We remind that US-based Phillips 66 remains open to developing another ethane cracker for its Chevron Phillips Chemical (CP Chem) joint venture, the refiner's CEO said in March 2018.

Ethylene and propylene are the main feedstocks for the production of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP), respectively.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 1,868,160 tonnes in the first nine months of 2021, up by 18% year on year. Shipments of all grades of ethylene polymers increased. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market were 1,138,510 tonnes in January-September 2021, up by 30% year on year. Supply of propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) and block-copolymers of propylene (PP block copolymers) increased, whereas supply of injection moulding statistical copolymers of propylene (PP random copolymers) decreased significantly.
MRC

MOSCOW (MRC) -- The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Nov. 16 signaled a likely easing of oil market tightness, forecasting world supply to rise by 1.5 million b/d in November-December on the back of a US output resurgence, and highlighting a recovery from refinery maintenance, reported S&P Global.

In its latest monthly oil market report, the Paris-based IEA noted that high prices, driven partly by the policies of OPEC+ nations, were serving both to "temper" the recovery in oil demand and spur US shale output.

The IEA nudged up its 2022 demand growth estimate by 100,000 b/d to 3.4 million b/d, saying demand was being supported by "robust gasoline consumption and increasing international travel," but added, "new COVID waves in Europe, weaker industrial activity and higher oil prices will temper gains."

On the supply side it revised its fourth-quarter supply estimate higher by 330,000 b/d and said supply by the end of the year would reach 99.2 million b/d, up 6.4 million b/d year on year.

In the refining segment, the IEA signaled a return from major maintenance impacts, saying throughput globally would rise by 3 million b/d between October and December before "pausing" in the first half of 2022.

As MRC informed before, US commercial crude stocks fell 3.48 million barrels to 413.96 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 17, to more than 8% below the five-year average, Energy Information Administration data showed. Stocks were last lower Oct. 5, 2018.

We remind that in late August, 2021, US crude stocks dropped sharply while petroleum products supplied by refiners hit an all-time record despite the rise in coronavirus cases nationwide, the Energy Information Administration said. Crude inventories fell by 7.2 million barrels in the week to Aug. 27 to 425.4 million barrels, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 3.1 million-barrel drop. Product supplied by refineries, a measure of demand, rose to 22.8 million barrels per day in the most recent week. That's a one-week record, and signals strength in consumption for diesel, gasoline and other fuels by consumers and exporters.

We also remind that US crude oil production is expected to fall by 160,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2021 to 11.12 million bpd, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said in a monthly report, a smaller decline than its previous forecast for a drop of 210,000 bpd.
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