Oil rises 1% as Texas freeze prompts U.S. production drop

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Oil climbed more than 1% on Wednesday as frigid Texas temperatures curtailed production in the largest US crude producing state, with the unusual cold weather expected to hamper output for days or even weeks, reported Reuters.

Brent crude gained 72 cents, or 1.1%, to USD64.07 a barrel by 1:23 p.m. EST (1823 GMT) while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose USD0.73, or 1.2%, to USD60.78/bbl.

Oil has been supported by OPEC+ supply curbs, Saudi Arabia's additional cuts and hopes of a demand rebound due to COVID-19 vaccinations.

Historic cold weather since the weekend in Texas, which supplies the bulk of US crude and is part of the main US refining hub, has propelled prices even higher.

"This has just sent us to the next level," said Bob Yawger, director of energy futures at Mizuho in New York. "Crude oil WTI will probably max out somewhere pretty close to USD65.65, refinery utilization rate will probably slide to somewhere around 76%," Yawger said.

The US deep freeze should disrupt production for several days if not weeks, industry experts said, as wellheads have frozen over and pipelines have shut.

At least a fifth of US refining output has been knocked offline, which is hampering demand for crude at the same time production is down, said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital in New York.

"There's a bit of a push pull happening because even though the supplies are shut in, the refiners are also down so there's not much of a call for it," Kilduff said.

Brent and WTI rose more than USD1 during the session, hitting their highest level since January 2020. Prices pared gains after the Wall Street Journal reported that Saudi Arabia was expected to announce plans to raise output when OPEC and allied oil producers meet next month.

But Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said it was too early to declare victory against the COVID-19 virus and that oil producers must remain "extremely cautious".

The stronger price environment has put more attention on OPEC+, which groups OPEC, Russia and allied producers. It meets to set policy on March 4.

OPEC+ sources told Reuters that the group's producers are likely to ease curbs on supply after April given a recovery in prices.

As MRC informed previously, as of the evening of Tuesday, 16 February, IHS Markit had confirmed the shutdown of at least 61% of US ethylene capacity, 59% of US chemical- and polymer-grade propylene (CGP, PGP) capacity, and 22% of US fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) capacity. Many plants that remained online were running at reduced capacity.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 2,220,640 tonnes in 2020, up by 2% year on year. Only shipments of low density polyethylene (LDPE) and high density polyethylene (HDPE) increased. At the same time, polypropylene (PP) shipments to the Russian market reached 1 240,000 tonnes in 2020 (calculated using the formula: production, minus exports, plus imports, excluding producers' inventories as of 1 January, 2020). Supply of exclusively PP random copolymer increased.
MRC

Marathon shut Galveston Bay FCC, other units for overhaul

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Marathon Petroleum Corp plans shut down the gasoline-producing fluidic catalytic cracker 3 (FCC 3) at its 585,000 barrel-per-day (bpd) Galveston Bay Refinery in Texas City, Texas, in mid-February for a planned overhaul, reported Reuters with reference to sources familiar with plant operations.

The 140,000-bpd FCC 3, 31,500-bpd alkylation unit 3 (Alky 3) and 75,000-bpd Ultraformer 3 (UU 3), along with a hydrotreater, was shut for the overhaul, scheduled to finish by the end of March, the sources said.

Marathon spokesman Jamal Kheiry declined to discuss operations at the refinery.

FCCs use a fine powder catalyst to convert gas oil into unfinished gasoline.

Alkylation units convert low-octane byproducts from FCCs into components that boost octane in mid and premium gasoline grades.

The Ultraformer is a reformer that through a different process also converts refining byproducts into octane-boosting components added to gasoline.

As MRC informed earlier, most units were shut on Sunday night and Monday morning at Marathon Petroleum Corp's 585,000 barrel-per-day Galveston Bay Refinery in Texas City, Texas, as temperatures plunged due to a Arctic cold front reaching the Gulf Coast.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 2,220,640 tonnes in 2020, up by 2% year on year. Only shipments of low density polyethylene (LDPE) and high density polyethylene (HDPE) increased. At the same time, polypropylene (PP) shipments to the Russian market reached 1 240,000 tonnes in 2020 (calculated using the formula: production, minus exports, plus imports, excluding producers' inventories as of 1 January, 2020). Supply of exclusively PP random copolymer increased.
MRC

Axalta easily beats estimates on strength in industrial, automotive demand

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Axalta has reported fourth-quarter net income up 67.1% year-on-year (YOY), to USD69.7 million, on net sales down 2.2%, to USD1.07 billion, said Chemweek.

Adjusted earnings totaled 58 cents/share, up 38.1% YOY and well ahead of analysts’ consensus estimate of 37 cents/share, as reported by Refinitiv (New York, New York). Volumes declined 3.8% YOY, and average price and product mix was down 0.2%. Lower YOY volumes were mostly the result of COVID-19-related macroeconomic impacts, with the automotive refinish coatings market hardest hit, Axalta says.

The company’s results “included tailwinds from rapidly improving demand across many industrial coatings segments, as well as benefits from the cost actions taken during 2020 to help offset pandemic volume impacts,” says Robert Bryant, president and CEO of Robert Bryant. “During the fourth quarter, Axalta saw evidence of ongoing demand recovery across most businesses and regions, while ongoing benefits from cost actions ahead of earlier expectations helped to deliver strong results for the quarter."

Performance coatings segment net sales were down 3.5% YOY, to USD703.9 million, while segment adjusted EBIT increased 9.7%, to USD129.5 million. Volumes fell 5.8% YOY, with declines in automotive refinish partly offset by higher industrial volumes. Average price and product mix was down 0.3% YOY.

Transportation coatings segment net sales increased 0.5% YOY, to $370.6 million, while segment adjusted EBIT nearly doubled, to USD47.9 million from USD25.6 million. Volumes were up 0.3% YOY, with higher global automotive production offsetting declines in light-truck production. Price and product mix effects were neutral, Axalta says.

As per MRC, Axalta said that it will realign its business structure to fold most organizational functions into its two global business units, transportation coatings and performance coatings.

As MRC reported earlier, in July 2017, Axalta Coating Systems completed its previously announced acquisition of the Spencer Coatings Group (UK), a leading manufacturer of high performance industrial coatings for heavy-duty equipment, general industrial, oil and gas, and glass coatings segments.

We remind that Russia's output of chemical products rose in November 2020 by 9.5% year on year. At the same time, production of basic chemicals increased in the first eleven months of 2020 by 6.6% year on year, according to Rosstat's data. According to the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation, polymers in primary form accounted for the greatest increase in the January-November 2020 output. November production of polymers in primary form rose to 896,000 tonnes from 852,000 tonnes in October. Overall output of polymers in primary form totalled 9,240,000 tonnes over the stated period, up by 17.1% year on year.

MRC

PP imports in Belarus rose by 5.7% in 2020

MOSCOW (MRC) - Imports of polypropylene (PP) into Belarus increased to about 115,600 tonnes in 2020, up 5.7% year on year, compared to the same period of 2019. The greatest increase in imports accounted for homopolymer PP, according to MRC DataScope.

December PP imports into the Republic of Belarus increased to 10,800 tonnes from 9,400 tonnes a month earlier. Local companies increased their purchases of injection moulding propylene copolymers in Russia. Total PP imports into the country reached 115,600 tonnes in January - December, compared with 109,400 tonnes year on year.

The demand for homopolymer PP increased, but demand for propylene copolymers decreased. The structure of PP imports by grades looked the following way over the stated period.

December imports of homopolymer PP increased to 7,900 tonnes from 7,600 tonnes a month earlier, purchases of injection moulding homopolymer PP in Russia increased. Overall imports of homopolymer PP reached 84,500 tonnes in 2019, up by 12.4% year on year.

December imports of propylene copolymers to Belarus were about 2,900 tonnes versus 1,800 tonnes a month earlier, local companies increased significantly their procurement of injection moulding block-copolymers of propylene (PP block copolymer) from Russian producers.
Thus, overall imports of propylene copolymers reached 31,100 tonnes in January-December 2020, down by 9% year on year.

MRC

SK Global Chem, Brightmark Sign MoU For Plastics Renewal Plant in S. Korea

MOSCOW (MRC) -- SK Global Chemical and global waste solutions provider Brightmark have signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) to form a partnership that aims to build a commercial-scale plastics renewal facility in South Korea, according to Apic-online.

Under the MoU, the parties will jointly utilize Brightmark's plastics renewal technology and confirm its commercial viability with the intention of forming a joint venture to develop, finance, construct and operate the plant.

The proposed facility is planned to have a capacity of 100,000 t/y. Both companies will perform a feasibility study during 2021 and intend to cooperate by combining experience of pyrolysis and post treatment. A planned schedule for the project was not available.

By the end of this year, they will complete an evalua-tion of the most optimal methods to operate, scale and develop Brightmark?s technology prior to finalization of a joint venture agreement for the plant development and operation.
Brightmark is currently building a USD260-million plastics renewal facility in Ashley, Ind., which will initially convert about 100,000 t/y of plastic waste into new products. It is scheduled to achieve full com-mercial scale this year.

As MRC reported previously, SK Innovation Co Ltd, the owner of South Korea's top refiner SK Energy, said in early February, 2021, that refining margins are expected to gradually recover this year on a pick-up in fuel demand as the impact of COVID-19 eases. The company, which has been battered by weak margins during the global pandemic, posted an operating loss of 243 billion won (USD218 million) in the October-December quarter.

We remind that SK Advanced is planning to start up the new polypropylene (PP) plant in Ulsan, South Korea this March 2021 as construction works are nearly completed. The PP unit is a joint venture between PolyMirae and SK Advanced, using the “Spheripol” process of LyondellBasell, and have an annual output of 400,000 tons/year. The unit will be utilizing the propylene output from SK’s 600,000 tons/year propane dehydrogenation (PDH) unit at the same complex. It is expected that SK Advanced would have a smaller propylene allocation for export once the new PP line comes online.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, PP shipments to the Russian market reached 1 240,000 tonnes in 2020 (calculated using the formula: production, minus exports, plus imports, excluding producers' inventories as of 1 January, 2020). Supply of exclusively PP random copolymer increased.
MRC