Sabic swings to profit, forecasts rise in 2021 volumes on improving outlook

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Sabic has reported net profit of 2.22 billion Saudi riyals (USD592 million) for the fourth quarter, swinging from a loss of SR890 million in the prior-year period, on sales that rose 4% year on year (YOY) to SR32.85 billion, reported Chemweek.

The fourth-quarter net profit and revenue figures are also up sequentially 104% and 12%, respectively, on the company’s third-quarter figures, due mainly to higher average selling prices, rising demand, and improved margins amid the wider economic recovery, says Sabic CEO Yousef al-Benyan.

The fourth quarter benefited from “sustained economic recovery, which translated into higher demand for our products,” according to Benyan. Product prices rose “driven by healthy demand and a tightness in the supply/demand balance for some of our key products, which resulted from outages and rising oil prices,” leading to higher margins, he says. The YOY swing to profit is mainly attributable to the higher sales volumes and lower average cost of sales, as well as the reversal of impairment provisions in certain capital assets, net of SR300 million, the company states. Impairment provisions of SR1.3 billion were recorded in the prior-year quarter, it notes.

In terms of feedstocks, Brent crude prices rose 3% sequentially in the fourth quarter, Japanese and European naphtha prices increased by about 2%, and Japanese propane and butane prices rose by more than 30%, Sabic says. Cost of sales in the quarter rose 9% sequentially to SR24.73 billion, due mainly to the increase in feedstock prices, it says.

Sabic’s petrochemicals business unit achieved fourth-quarter sales of SR28.99 billion, a quarter-on-quarter (QOQ) rise of 13%, driven by higher average selling prices and volumes. EBITDA of SR6.27 billion were up 18% QOQ, and operational income rose 74% to SR3.64 billion, it says. Ethylene glycol prices increased in the fourth quarter, led by healthy demand coupled with tight supply resulting from outages and a decrease in inventories, particularly in China. For methanol, unplanned outages in the quarter “supported prices considerably,” with healthy demand and reduced inventories, Sabic says. Polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) prices rose in the quarter, driven by improved demand and an increase in feedstock costs, it says. Polycarbonate (PC) prices also saw a significant increase, especially in Asia, supported by stable demand from key end industries and tighter supply resulting from outages in Asia and the US, it adds.

In its agri-nutrients business, Sabic says lower sales volumes caused a 4% fall in revenue QOQ to SR1.50 billion despite average selling prices rising 6%, with EBITDA declining 14% compared with the third quarter to SR510 million. Operational income declined 18% to SR370 million. Urea prices improved QOQ, supported by tighter supply and improved demand, especially from the middle of the fourth quarter, the company says. Urea demand was supported by two Indian tenders of more than 3 million metric tons, as well as healthy demand from Europe, the US, and Brazil later in the fourth quarter, it notes. Supply remains tight due to outages at certain production units, mainly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, it adds.

Sabic reports net profit of SR40 million for full-year 2020, plunging from SR5.2 billion in the prior year, on sales that fell 14% to SR116.96 billion. The decrease in net income is due primarily to lower average selling prices for most products, in addition to the recording of impairment provisions of SR1.3 billion, it says. Impairment provisions of SR2.8 billion were recorded in 2019, it notes.

The company says it expects economic activity to continue improving and is estimating a global GDP growth rate of 4.5–5.0% in 2021, assuming the effective and widespread use of COVID-19 vaccines worldwide. Sabic estimates its full-year 2021 sales volumes will be 2.0–5.0% higher than in 2020, with capital expenditure at a similar level.

Sabic also expects its share of annualized value creation from synergies and collaboration following its acquisition by Saudi Aramco will amount to USD1.5-1.8 billion by 2025, according to Benyan. “Both companies are focused on strategically transforming their growth optimization, joint-venture management, and service delivery model,” he says. Aramco acquired a 70% stake in Sabic in June 2020. Sabic's global business model and the strength of its supply chain “continue to demonstrate their resilience and flexibility, positioning us well for long-term growth,” he says. Despite challenges posed by COVID-19 last year, the company has demonstrated “its ability to enhance our resilience, boost our operational excellence, and strengthen our global supply chain and presence,” he adds.

As MRC informed earlier, in November 2020, SABIC announced the successful commercialization of LEXAN HP92AF Anti-Fog film, targeted especially at demanding COVID-19 protection equipment such as safety face shields and goggles in front-line work environments.

According to MRC's DataScope report, PE imports to Russia decreased in January-November 2020 by 17% year on year and reached 569,900 tonnes. High density polyethylene (HDPE) accounted for the greatest reduction in imports. At the same time, PP imports into Russia increased by 21% year on year to about 202,000 tonnes in the first eleven months of 2020. Propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) accounted for the main increase in imports.

Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (Sabic) ranks among the world's top petrochemical companies. The company is among the world's market leaders in the production of polyethylene, polypropylene and other advanced thermoplastics, glycols, methanol and fertilizers.
MRC

Shintech planning USD1.25 billion expansion of new US vinyls facility

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Shintech will invest USD1.3bn to expand its manufacturing and packaging facilities in Iberville and West Baton Rouge in Louisiana, the US-based polyvinyl chloride (PVC) producer said, said Chemweek.

The company will make a USD1.25bn investment to increase PVC manufacturing capacity and expand chlor-alkali and vinyl chloride monomer capacity in its Plaquemine facility. The expansion was announced in 2018 and is expected to be completed this year.

Shintech is also expanding its PVC packaging and warehouse operation in its Addis facility. The company is expanding to keep pace with the rising demand for PVC, which is used in a variety of applications including, building and construction industries, healthcare, electronics, automobile, and other sectors.

“Shintech continues to invest in and increase its manufacturing presence in the North American market,” vice president of Manufacturing Danny Cedotal said. The state of Louisiana has offered Shintech a performance-based grant of up to ГЫВ6.6m for the construction, procurement and installation of infrastructure to support the expansion of the project.

The grant is payable in four instalments, contingent upon the company reaching investment and production benchmarks.

As MRC informed earlier, Shintech, a subsidiary of Japan's Shin-Etsu, raised PVC contract prices in January by 4 cents per pound (USD88 per tonne). The company previously announced a 3 cents / lb increase in January PVC contracts and is seeking an additional 3 cents / lb hike in February.

According to MRC's DataScope report, last month's SPVC imports to Russia dropped to 0,600 tonnes from 1,600 tonnes in November. High PVC prices in foreign markets and a seasonal decline in demand in the last two months have put serious pressure on import purchases of PVC from Russian companies. Thus, overall imports were 40,800 tonnes in January-December 2020, compared to 50,900 tonnes a year earlier, with PVC from China and the United States accounting for the main reduction in imports. PVC shipments from these countries decreased by almost a third over the stated period.
MRC

US oil output rises above 11 MMbpd in Nov for first time since April

MOSCOW (MRC) -- US oil output rose 692,000 barrels per day (bpd) in November last year to 11.124 million bpd, the first time it has surpassed 11 MMbpd since last April, reported Reuters with reference to a monthly report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA).

At the same time, demand for distillate fuels such as diesel was down 7.1% from a year earlier and gasoline demand was off by 13.3%.

Monthly gross natural gas production in the U.S. Lower 48 states jumped almost 3.0 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) to 102.5 bcfd in November, according to the EIA’s 914 production report.

That was the biggest increase in a month since output climbed by a record 5.0 bcfd in October 2008, according to EIA data going back to 2005.

Gross natural gas output peaked at 107.1 bcfd in December 2019.

In top natural gas producing states, output gained 1.6% in Texas to 27.8 bcfd in November and 3.8% in Pennsylvania to a monthly record high of 20.6 bcfd.

As MRC informed before, global oil demand is expected to rise by nearly 7% this year, boosted by quicker vaccine distribution and a better economic outlook, according to consultancy Wood Mackenzie's statement. Total liquids demand is expected to average 96.7 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2021, 6.3 million bpd higher than last year when the Covid-19 pandemic caused an unprecedented oil demand shock. Refineries under the threat of closure could repurpose the facilities to produce liquid renewables instead of converting into a terminal, which could help oil companies’ aim of achieving carbon neutrality.

Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).

According to MRC's DataScope report, PE imports to Russia decreased in January-November 2020 by 17% year on year and reached 569,900 tonnes. High density polyethylene (HDPE) accounted for the greatest reduction in imports. At the same time, PP imports into Russia increased by 21% year on year to about 202,000 tonnes in the first eleven months of 2020. Propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) accounted for the main increase in imports.
MRC

Sasol flags rise in headline earnings per share, sees sequential improvement

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Sasol is expected to deliver a strong set of results for the six months ended 31 December 2020 (2021 financial half year), underpinned by a strong cash cost, working capital and capital expenditure performance despite the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, a severe decline in crude oil prices and softer chemical product prices, said the company.

In addition, our Lake Charles production was impacted by hurricanes experienced in the US Gulf Coast, resulting in lost production of approximately 300kt for the 2021 financial half year.

Shareholders are advised that, for the 2021 financial half year: The earnings per share is expected to be between R22,76 and R24,07 compared to the prior half year earnings per share of R6,56 (representing an increase of more than 100%);

Headline earnings per share (HEPS) is expected to be between R18,59 and R19,78 compared to the prior half year HEPS of R5,94 (representing an increase of more than 100%); and Core HEPS (CHEPS) is expected to be between R6,94 and R8,79 compared to the prior half year CHEPS of R9,25.

Sasol?s adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (adjusted EBITDA) is expected to decline by between 0% and 10% from R19,8 billion in the prior year, to between R17,9 billion and R19,8 billion. This decline results from a 23% decrease in the rand per barrel price of Brent crude oil coupled with lower sales volumes due to softer demand attributable to COVID-19 lockdowns and the aforementioned hurricanes impacting our gross margins adversely. This was offset by a strong cost performance, supported by delivery towards the US$1 billion integrated crisis response plan commitment.

Notable non-cash adjustments for the 2021 financial half year include: Unrealised gains of R5,4 billion on the translation of monetary assets and liabilities due to the 15% strengthening of the closing rand/US dollar exchange rate compared to June 2020; Unrealised gains of R4,7 billion on the valuation of financial instruments and derivative contracts; and R3,3 billion gain on the realisation of the foreign currency translation reserve (FCTR), mainly on the divestment of 50% interest in the LCCP Base Chemicals Business.

The financial information on which this trading statement is based has not been reviewed and reported on by the Company's external auditors. Sasol will release its 2021 financial half year results on Monday, 22 February 2021. Sasol?s President and Chief Executive Officer, Fleetwood Grobler, and Chief Financial Officer, Paul Victor, will present the results. The pre-recorded presentation will be available on 22 February 2021 on the following link: presentation link.

As per MRC, Sasol completed the USD404-million sale to Ineos of its 50% equity stake in the companies’ Gemini high-density polyethylene (HDPE) manufacturing joint venture (JV) at La Porte, Texas. The planned divestment, first announced by Sasol in November 2020, was successfully closed on 31 December.

According to MRC's DataScope report, PE imports to Russia decreased in January-November 2020 by 17% year on year and reached 569,900 tonnes. High density polyethylene (HDPE) accounted for the greatest reduction in imports. At the same time, PP imports into Russia increased by 21% year on year to about 202,000 tonnes in the first eleven months of 2020. Propylene homopolymer (homopolymer PP) accounted for the main increase in imports.
MRC

Stepan buys Invista aromatic polyols business

MOSCOW (MRC) -- Stepan Company (Northfield, Illinois) says it has acquired Invista’s aromatic polyols business, which has annual sales of about USD100 million, according to Chemweek.

The deal includes a manufacturing site in Wilmington, North Carolina, and another in Vlissingen, Netherlands, as well as intellectual property, customer relationships, inventory, and working capital. Terms of the deal, which was financed with cash on hand, were not disclosed.

F. Quinn Stepan, Jr., chairman and CEO, says the acquisition will support the growth of Stepan’s global rigid polyol business. “We expect that Invista's available spare capacity, plus debottlenecking opportunities in both plants, will allow Stepan to support market growth in a capital efficient way," he says. "We believe the long-term prospects for rigid polyol use in insulation remain strong, as energy conservation efforts and more stringent building codes should continue to drive market growth. Additionally, we believe the acquired technology will accelerate our product leadership initiatives, drive manufacturing efficiencies and output, and create increased value for the overall market."

Stepan already has polyester polyols capacity at Nanjing, China; Wesseling, Germany; Brzeg Dolny, Poland; Columbus, Georgia; and Millsdale, Illinois, according to IHS Markit's Directory of Chemical Producers.

As MRC informed before, Stepan conducted planned maintenance at its 90,000 tonnes/year phthalic anhydride (PA) plant Millsdale, Illinois, US, from early October to end-October, 2020.

Phthalic anhydride is widely used in for the production of paints and varnishes and plasticizers for PVC products. In a small amount it is used in the manufacture of rubber products, tires. In addition, it is used in the light, pharmaceutical and electrical industries.

According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Overall production of polyvinyl chloride (PVC) reached 976,500 tonnes in 2020, up by 0.2% year on year. Only two producers managed to increase their PVC output
MRC