MOSCOW (MRC) -- Tough times still lie ahead for oil markets despite OPEC+ coalition's implementation of a historic production cut that began in May and has been extended into July, reported S&P Global with reference to the secretary general of OPEC and the UAE energy minister's statement June 29.
"Although we are not yet out of the woods, but we have proven together with our partners in non-OPEC...that multilateralism is irreplaceable especially in our diverse world of energy that is sometimes punctuated with geopolitics," OPEC secretary general Mohammed Barkindo told a webinar organized by the Canada-UAE Business Council.
The 23-member coalition of OPEC+ are in the midst of a record 9.7 million b/d cut that started in May and was extended till July, excluding Mexico's 100,000 b/d cut. The output curbs will gradually ease after July through to April 2022. The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, which is now meeting monthly, convenes next on July 15, with a delegate-level technical meeting held the day before.
UAE, OPEC's third largest oil producer, is also cutting an extra 100,000 b/d in June, joining Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Oman in implementing cuts on top of their OPEC+ commitments this month to help rebalance the market.
Suhail al-Mazrouei, the UAE energy minister, told the webinar these remain tough times for the oil industry, but that the oil markets are rebounding.
"No one predicted, even after we announced the (9.7 million b/d) cut that the market will quickly rebound to where we are today," he said.
"We are all keen to produce our barrels to contribute to our economy but we need to do it at the right pace and at the right time."
As MRC informed before, global oil consumption cut by up to a third in Q1 2020. What happens next in the oil market depends on how quickly and completely the global economy emerges from lockdown, and whether the recessionary hit lingers through the rest of this year and into 2021.
Earlier this year, BP said the deadly coronavirus outbreak could cut global oil demand growth by 40 per cent in 2020, putting pressure on Opec producers and Russia to curb supplies to keep prices in check.
We remind that, in September 2019, six world's major petrochemical companies in Flanders, Belgium, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany, and the Netherlands (Trilateral Region) announced the creation of a consortium to jointly investigate how naphtha or gas steam crackers could be operated using renewable electricity instead of fossil fuels. The Cracker of the Future consortium, which includes BASF, Borealis, BP, LyondellBasell, SABIC and Total, aims to produce base chemicals while also significantly reducing carbon emissions. The companies agreed to invest in R&D and knowledge sharing as they assess the possibility of transitioning their base chemical production to renewable electricity.
Ethylene and propylene are feedstocks for producing polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP).
According to MRC's ScanPlast report, Russia's estimated PE consumption totalled 595,170 tonnes in the first five month of 2020, up by 10% year on year. Deliveries of all ethylene polymers, except for linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE), rose partially because of an increase in capacity utilisation at ZapSibNeftekhim. At the same time, PP shipments to the Russian market was 457,930 tonnes in January-May 2020 (calculated by the formula production minus export plus import). Deliveris of exclusively PP random copolymer increased.
MRC