MOSCOW (MRC) -- Moody's Investors Service, has changed the outlook of Chandra Asri Petrochemical Tbk (CAP), the country’s largest petrochemical producer, to stable from negative. Concurrently, Moody's affirmed CAP's B2 corporate family rating (CFR), reported Moody's on its site.
The change in rating outlook to stable reflects our expectations of an improved operating environment in 2014 relative to the cyclical trough which meaningfully depressed CAP's margins and cash flows in 2012. CAP's operating performance, which improved substantially in 2013, is expected to generate mid to high single digit EBITDA margins in 2014 bolstered by earnings from its new butadiene plant, which became operational in Q4 2013.
"We have stabilized CAP's outlook as improving operating performance alleviates ratings pressure driven by cyclical decline and tight liquidity," says Brian Grieser, a Moody's Vice President Senior Analyst and lead analyst for CAP.
However, aggressive capital spending plans for 2014-2015, which have been pre-funded with bank debt and equity, will temper ratings momentum as they introduce significant execution and financial risk. Moreover, CAP's performance in 2015 is expected to soften mildly due to the tie-in works required to integrate its ongoing naptha cracker expansion and scheduled turn around maintenance.
During 2013, CAP announced two major projects that will help the company to expand production capabilities downstream in the petrochemical value-chain. The first project is a roughly 43% production capacity expansion of its naptha cracker and the second is a joint venture with Compagnie Financiere Michelin (Michelin, Baa1 stable) to build a synthetic rubber plant, both of which are located in Indonesia. CAP's financing requirements for these projects will largely be funded with proceeds from a USD128 million rights offering and a 7-year USD265 million term loan both of which have been completed in the fourth quarter of 2013.
CAP's B2 rating reflects its leading position in the Indonesian petrochemicals market, a position based on its vertically integrated operations. However, the rating is constrained by its modest leverage, small global presence, and asset concentration. The rating also takes into consideration the cyclical nature of the petrochemical industry, which is a cause of significant volatility in its earnings and cash flow.
CAP operates the only naphtha cracker in Indonesia.
As MRC reported earlier, German petrochemical company Ferrostaal Industrial Projects GmbH and Jakarta-listed PT Chandra Asri Petrochemical, have agreed to work on studies for the development of a petrochemical plant. Under an agreement, Ferrostaal and Chandra Asri will develop a methanol-based olefin production complex in Teluk Bintuni in West Papua, with a total investment amounting to USD1.89 billion. The complex is expected to produce up to 400,000 tonnes of polypropylene and 175,000 tonnes of ethylene annually
MRC